Match Info

ChNL - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Town Stadium Usti (Usti nad Labem)

Referee: Orel P. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Chnliga.tv, CT sport, Oneplay


	Ústí nad Labem		Zbrojovka Brno

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.67
	3.9	3.75	1.66
	3.75	3.75	1.72
	4.1	4.01	1.75
	3.50	3.67	1.93	Watch
	4.02	3.82	1.7	Watch
	4.15	4.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.3)	3.85 ↓ (4.1)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ústí nad Labem
23.5%

Draw
23.7%

Zbrojovka Brno
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

22%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

21.9%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ústí nad Labem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Zbrojovka Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ústí nad Labem than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zbrojovka Brno than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Ústí nad Labem - Zbrojovka Brno Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Zbrojovka Brno (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ústí nad Labem (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zbrojovka Brno will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zbrojovka Brno will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ústí nad Labem (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Zbrojovka Brno (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Grigar T. (G) 3. Brezina D. 5. Citek V. 77. Fantis A. 16. Kodad L. 22. Kott T. 14. Moulis P. 11. Novotny F. 6. Osaghae S. 17. Vondrasek T. (C) 21. Zezulka O.	1. Hrdina A. (G) 8. Cavos P. 66. Hofmann S. (C) 68. Janetzky J. 32. Juroska J. 3. Kaka 39. Klima J. 11. Rymarenko M. 10. Selnar J. 14. Vachousek T. 29. Zitny P.
Substitutes
10. Cerny D. 19. Goj P. 23. Idumbo-Muzambo F. 42. Kuta V. 76. Marquinho 1. Nemec D. (G) 7. Richter D. 4. Toure S. 12. Turecek M.	27. Blecha F. 25. Brecka T. 74. Cicilia R. 31. Gjorgievski M. 19. Kanakimana B. 16. Kronus A. 17. Kutik D. 30. Slavicek M. (G) 23. Sural J. 13. Texl J. 26. Vedral F.
Coaches
Habanec S.	Svedik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Osaghae S. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Cavos P. ⚽, Klima J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Zitny P. 🟨,
60', Zitny P. ↓, Texl J. ↑,
62', Kott T. ↓, Richter D. ↑,
66', Selnar J. 🟨,
69', Fantis A. ↓, Cerny D. ↑,
69', Vondrasek T. ↓, Toure S. ↑,
71', Selnar J. ↓, Gjorgievski M. ↑,
71', Cavos P. ↓, Kanakimana B. ↑,
71', Vachousek T. ↓, Vedral F. ↑,
80', Rymarenko M. ↓, Kronus A. ↑,
83', Gjorgievski M. 🟨,
90', Novotny F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ústí nad Labem won 0.

In recent matches, Ústí nad Labem has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zbrojovka Brno is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Zbrojovka Brno is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ústí nad Labem won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ústí nad Labem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 1.3:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ústí nad Labem
Czech Division 2
28.09.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Ústí nad Labem	1:1 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Ústí nad Labem - Zlín	0:2 ✺
Czech Division 2
19.09.25	Ústí nad Labem - Prostějov	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Chrudim - Ústí nad Labem	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ústí nad Labem - Dynamo České Budějovice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTW
- Zbrojovka Brno
Czech Division 2
27.09.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Slavia Prague B	2:1 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Teplice	2:1 ✺
Czech Division 2
20.09.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Vysočina Jihlava	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Zbrojovka Brno	1:4 ✺
Czech Cup
27.08.25	Tatran Bohunice - Zbrojovka Brno	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
13.04.22	Zbrojovka Brno - Ústí nad Labem	2:1
24.09.21	Ústí nad Labem - Zbrojovka Brno	1:6
28.05.20	Ústí nad Labem - Zbrojovka Brno	1:2
09.08.19	Zbrojovka Brno - Ústí nad Labem	2:2
07.04.19	Zbrojovka Brno - Ústí nad Labem	0:0
30.08.18	Ústí nad Labem - Zbrojovka Brno	2:2
Czech Cup
21.09.16	Ústí nad Labem - Zbrojovka Brno	1:4

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