Match Info

3. Liga - West - Round 25

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Častkovce		Malacky

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.05	3.95
	1.65	4.63	3.47
	1.61	5.39	3.5	Watch
	1.62	4	3.9
	1.57	4.4	4.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)	4.49 ↓ (4.57)	3.81 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Častkovce
56.1%

Draw
20.1%

Malacky
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

19.8%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

19.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Častkovce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Malacky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Častkovce than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacky than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Častkovce - Malacky Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 14).

Recent performances by Častkovce have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Malacky has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Častkovce could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Častkovce won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Častkovce won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Castkovce	9	2	2	5	17:20	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OK Častkovce
Slovak 3 Liga West
26.04.26	Rača Bratislava - Častkovce	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Častkovce - Baník HN Prievidza & Handlová	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	MŠK Senec - Častkovce	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	DAC Dunajská Streda B - Častkovce	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Častkovce - Komárno B	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLTW
- FC Malacky
Slovak 3 Liga West
25.04.26	Malacky - Družstevník Veľké Ludince	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Slovan Galanta - Malacky	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Malacky - Beluša	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Nové Zámky - Malacky	Canceled ✺
28.03.26	Malacky - Spartak Myjava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLL?L

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga West
04.10.25	Malacky - Častkovce	1:1
14.05.25	Malacky - Častkovce	1:2
27.04.24	Malacky - Častkovce	3:2
30.09.23	Častkovce - Malacky	0:5

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