Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion na Banovom brdu (Belgrade)

Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Premium 5


	Čukarički		Spartak Subotica

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.68	3.65	4.45
	1.95	3.5	4.27
	1.76	3.82	4.19	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.5
	1.71	3.62	4.51	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 (1.75)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	4.39 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Čukarički
52.9%

Draw
25.9%

Spartak Subotica
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

26.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Spartak Subotica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Čukarički - Spartak Subotica Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Čukarički will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Spartak Subotica will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Čukarički (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mirkovic N. (G) 27. Cvetkovic M. 4. Tomovic N. 77. Jovancic D. 29. Stojanovic L. 88. Mbong P. 14. Sissoko S. 13. Maiga I. 22. Matijasevic F. 90. Miladinovic U. 9. Tedic S. (C)	1. Vulic A. (G) 28. Bilingi Y. 15. Subotic L. 16. Kolaric D. (C) 3. Vitorovic V. 14. Jocic V. 44. Mehmedovic E. 21. Babic I. 27. Leo Antonio 70. Tomovic S. 7. Stojanovic S.
Substitutes
33. Abramusic O. 20. Cisse A. 26. Djokovic M. 12. Kalicanin L. (G) 17. Nikcevic B. 50. Pavkov M. 86. Radosavljevic V. 55. Srnic S. 3. Stojanovic A. 11. Vadze G. 2. Vojnovic J.	5. Besic M. 10. Bijelovic L. 22. Cejic U. 12. Dulic M. (G) 6. Ebuka 49. Krsmanovic N. 19. Milunovic N. 9. Mulato J. 11. Pavlovic A. 50. Tasic N. 17. Trajkovic A.
Coaches
Lesnjak M.	Djordjevic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Miladinovic U. ⚽,
44', Jocic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Jocic V. ↓, Trajkovic A. ↑,
59', Stojanovic S. ↓, Mulato J. ↑,
59', Stojanovic L. ↓, Nikcevic B. ↑,
59', Mehmedovic E. ↓, Ebuka ↑,
64', Mbong P. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
64', Matijasevic F. ↓, Radosavljevic V. ↑,
70', Tomovic S. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Babic I. ⚽, Ebuka (A),
76', 2 - 1, Miladinovic U. ⚽, Tedic S. (A),
78', Leo Antonio ↓, Milunovic N. ↑,
82', Tedic S. ↓, Djokovic M. ↑,
84', Nikcevic B. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Čukarički won 1.

Čukarički is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spartak Subotica's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Čukarički is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Čukarički won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Čukarički won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Čukarički
Serbian Superliga
09.08.25	Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Čukarički - Radnički Niš	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	IMT Novi Beograd - Čukarički	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Čukarički - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Domžale - Čukarički	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWW
- Spartak Subotica
Serbian Superliga
09.08.25	Spartak Subotica - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Bačka Topola - Spartak Subotica	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Spartak Subotica - Vojvodina	1:3 ✺
21.07.25	OFK Beograd - Spartak Subotica	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Spartak Moscow - Spartak Subotica	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
28.04.25	Čukarički - Spartak Subotica	0:0
29.11.24	Čukarički - Spartak Subotica	1:2
28.07.24	Spartak Subotica - Čukarički	1:1
12.03.24	Čukarički - Spartak Subotica	2:2
30.09.23	Spartak Subotica - Čukarički	0:3
04.02.23	Spartak Subotica - Čukarički	1:3
07.08.22	Čukarički - Spartak Subotica	2:0

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