Match Info

Super Lig - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.8	4	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.6
	1.71	3.95	4.22	Watch
	1.72	4.13	4.67
	1.76	3.95	4.35	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.2
	1.78	4.04	4.53	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.91)	3.88 ↑ (3.73)	4.24 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
53.5%

Draw
24.3%

Çaykur Rizespor
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

24.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	17.4%	8.7%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Rizespor will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rizespor (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Başakşehir (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Rizespor (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Rizespor (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 8. Kemen O. 20. Gunes U. 11. Fayzullaev A. 14. Shomurodov E. 25. Harit A. 9. Selke D.	1. Canpolat E. (G) 37. Sahin T. 4. Mocsi A. 3. Akaydin S. 5. Hojer C. 20. Laci Q. 14. Antalyali T. 7. Mihaila V. 10. Olawoyin I. 77. Zeqiri A. 9. Sowe A.
Substitutes
80. Alemdar D. (G) 27. Ba O. 77. Brnic I. 6. Bulut O. 10. Da Costa N. 4. Ergun O. 15. Gureler H. 18. Kaluzinski J. 2. Ozdemir B. 91. Yildirim B.	94. Ayan Y. 18. Buljubasic M. 99. Bulut E. 90. Capoglu B. 11. Dervisoglu H. 35. Dogan E. (G) 75. Fofana Y. (G) 17. Mebude A. 65. Ortakaya E. 54. Pala M.
Coaches
Sahin N.	Ucar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Operi C. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Sahin T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Opoku J. 🟨,
63', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
63', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Mihaila V. ⚽, Laci Q. (A),
73', Harit A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
73', Gunes U. ↓, Kaluzinski J. ↑,
73', Mihaila V. ↓, Pala M. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Yildirim B. ⚽, Kaluzinski J. (A),
79', Zeqiri A. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
79', Sahiner O. ↓, Bulut O. ↑,
86', Antalyali T. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
86', Olawoyin I. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 2.

Başakşehir is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rizespor is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.

In this match, Başakşehir is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Injury) Orak F. (Suspended) Papanikolaou G. (Red Card) Sagnan M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Sari Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rizespor: Augusto L. (Injury)

We predict that Başakşehir will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Rizespor	7	3	1	3	7:9	-2	10
11	Basaksehir	7	2	2	3	10:11	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbul Başakşehir - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.18%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
24.01.26	Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Osijek	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTT
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
25.01.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
19.01.26	Göztepe - Çaykur Rizespor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
20.12.25	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
22.10.25	Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0
18.01.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0
12.08.24	Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1
21.04.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0
02.12.23	Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:2
18.02.22	Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2
26.09.21	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor	3:0

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