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Current Win Probability
İstanbul Başakşehir 62.9%
Draw 21.8%
Fatih Karagümrükspor 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
22.2%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
21.6%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
7.7%
15.4%
İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 54% – 99.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1 - Karagümrük (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 8. Kemen O. 20. Gunes U. 11. Fayzullaev A. 14. Shomurodov E. 25. Harit A. 10. Da Costa N.
13. Grbic I. (G) 47. Esgaio R. 32. Kadioglu M. 29. Balkovec J. 33. Kurukalip C. 5. Kranevitter M. 8. Ozcan B. 23. Larsson S. 72. Kalayci B. 70. Serginho 19. Fofana D. D.
Substitutes
80. Alemdar D. (G) 27. Ba O. 77. Brnic I. 6. Bulut O. 4. Ergun O. 15. Gureler H. 18. Kaluzinski J. 2. Ozdemir B. 9. Selke D. 91. Yildirim B.
88. Ahmed T. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 21. Cukur T. 14. Doh M. 24. Ersoy B. 11. Johnson D. 20. Kalpakli T. 15. Kone 17. Sivri A.
Coaches
Sahin N.
Stanojevic A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Operi C. (A),
29', Da Costa N. 🟨,
42', Kranevitter M. 🟨,
45', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Da Costa N. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
57', Serginho ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
57', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
67', Larsson S. ↓, Doh M. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Fofana D. D. ⚽, Kalayci B. (A),
81', Kemen O. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
84', Ozcan B. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Sahiner O. ⚽,
89', Shomurodov E. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
89', Balkovec J. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 2.
In recent matches, Başakşehir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Karagümrük is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Başakşehir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.
In this match, Başakşehir is the team to beat.
There are questionable in Başakşehir: Sari Y.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
Asia
Turkey
Watch
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Sengezer M. (G) 
Duarte L. 
Opoku J. 
Operi C. 
Kemen O. 
Fayzullaev A. 
Harit A. 
Da Costa N. 
Grbic I. (G) 
Esgaio R. 
Balkovec J. 
Kranevitter M. 
Larsson S. 
Ba O. 
Kaluzinski J. 
Selke D. 
Johnson D. 
Stanojevic A. 
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