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Current Win Probability
İstanbul Başakşehir 19.6%
Draw 21.7%
Galatasaray 58.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
23.6%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
23.2%
55.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
6.7%
93.3%
İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Galatasaray (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Galatasaray will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Galatasaray will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Dilmen D. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 23. Bayram E. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 18. Kaluzinski J. 20. Gunes U. 70. Skov Olsen A. 8. Kemen O. 11. Fayzullaev A. 14. Shomurodov E.
1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 99. Lemina M. 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 8. Gabriel Sara 11. Akgun Y. (C) 83. Batrakov A. 10. Sane L. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
1. Babacan V. (G) 27. Ba O. 17. Bozok U. 77. Brnic I. 33. Karbownik M. 38. Kharebashvili S. 19. Ozcan B. 7. Sari Y. 9. Selke D. 91. Yildirim B.
23. Ayhan K. 42. Bardakci A. 17. Elmali E. 21. Gul D. 20. Gundogan I. 27. Leao R. 74. Nhaga R. 18. Ugochukwu L. 53. Yilmaz B. 24. Yilmaz J. (G)
Coaches
Sahin N.
Buruk O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽, Torreira L. (A),
33', Osimhen V. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
37', Operi C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lemina M. ↓, Bardakci A. ↑,
63', Operi C. ↓, Kharebashvili S. ↑,
63', Sallai R. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Shomurodov E. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Sanchez D. 🟨,
68', Batrakov A. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Torreira L. ⚽, Jakobs I. (A),
74', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
74', Kaluzinski J. ↓, Bozok U. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Sanchez D. (Own goal),
78', Leao R. 🟨,
79', Bozok U. 🟥,
83', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
83', Sahiner O. ↓, Karbownik M. ↑,
83', Jakobs I. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
83', Sane L. ↓, Gul D. ↑,
89', Kharebashvili S. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Gabriel Sara ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.
In this match, Galatasaray is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Galatasaray: Guvenc G.
(Muscle Injury)
Leao R.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:2.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Galatasaray
7
5
1
1
16:11
5
16
11
Basaksehir
7
2
2
3
10:11
-1
8
Last Results with these Odds
Galatasaray - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.22%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.