Match Info

Super Lig - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.60	4.75
	1.62	3.72	5.15	Watch
	1.69	3.81	5.7
	1.7	3.61	5.36	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5.45
	1.69	3.7	5.95	Watch
	1.64	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.46)	3.67 ↓ (4.16)	5.38 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
56.7%

Draw
25.7%

Kocaelispor
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbul Başakşehir's form might have worsened.

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 23. Bayram E. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 8. Kemen O. 18. Kaluzinski J. 70. Skov Olsen A. 14. Shomurodov E. 11. Fayzullaev A. 91. Yildirim B.	83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 22. Yildiz U. 4. Zoukrou T. 2. Dijksteel A. 21. Haidara M. (C) 14. Show 10. Kutlu B. 32. Baku M. 75. Bingol T. 7. Agyei D. 99. Rivas R.
Substitutes
17. Bozok U. 77. Brnic I. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 4. Ergun O. 20. Gunes U. 15. Gureler H. 33. Karbownik M. 19. Ozcan B. 7. Sari Y. 9. Selke D.	26. Altunbas M. 27. Bilim E. 3. Cinan M. 19. Karatas H. 5. Ortakaya E. 41. Oztonga O. 17. Ozyar A. 23. Piri O. (G) 20. Susoho M. 89. Yildiz B.
Coaches
Sahin N.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Operi C. ⚽, Fayzullaev A. (A),
31', Bingol T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
63', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
67', Kutlu B. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Skov Olsen A. (A),
75', Yildirim B. ↓, Bozok U. ↑,
75', Shomurodov E. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
76', Bingol T. ↓, Ortakaya E. ↑,
81', Zoukrou T. 🟨,
85', Agyei D. ↓, Bilim E. ↑,
85', Baku M. ↓, Ozyar A. ↑,
89', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
90', Kaluzinski J. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
90+2', Sahiner O. 🟨,

Preview

Başakşehir has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.

In this match, Başakşehir is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A. (Knee Injury) Susoho M. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Kemen O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Agyei D. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Başakşehir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kocaelispor	7	4	0	3	8:6	2	12
11	Basaksehir	7	2	2	3	10:11	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Inter Turku - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Puskás Academy - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
06.07.26	Cracovia - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWWL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
17.05.26	Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Kasımpaşa - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kocaelispor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
06.04.26	Kocaelispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0
31.10.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor	1:0

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