Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 8

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Stadion Šubićevac (Šibenik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport


	Šibenik		Dugopolje

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.38	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.61	6.55
	1.38	4.33	6.8
	1.45	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)	4.33 ↑ (3.8)	6.69 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šibenik
65.4%

Draw
21%

Dugopolje
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Šibenik's performance.

Dugopolje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Šibenik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dugopolje than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Šibenik - Dugopolje Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Šibenik will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Djakovic A. (G) 9. Bozic I. 34. Cvijanovic I. 5. Dujmovic D. 4. Gacic J. 22. Kolega T. 11. Laca I. 55. Peric S. 21. Pozo I. 28. Roca I. 23. Torres C.	1. Lukic L. I. (G) 4. Brekalo F. 16. Jelacic N. 10. Jukic M. 8. Ljubicic M. 29. Pericic S. 18. Rodic I. 11. Saranic I. 27. Tesija M. 6. Vladusic S. 7. Zdunic B.
Substitutes
10. Bacelic-Grgic S. 8. Brajkovic R. 30. Cosic R. 17. Ivankovic R. 7. Majic J. 44. Marijanovic R. 74. Misevic L. (G) 29. Osmankovic K. 32. Rovis M.	21. Bagaric D. 12. Bartulic J. (G) 5. Basic A. 14. Bradaric L. 25. Burcul B. 28. Katic I. 23. Kuseta N. 24. Luburic L. 17. Vidovic T.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Šibenik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Šibenik is absolute favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Šibenik
Croatian Cup
27.09.23	Radnik Križevci - Šibenik	4:3 ET ✺
Croatian Prva NL
23.09.23	Sesvete - Šibenik	1:0 ✺
18.09.23	Šibenik - Cibalia	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Orijent - Šibenik	5:4 ✺
01.09.23	Šibenik - Zrinski Osječko	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW
- NK Dugopolje
Croatian Prva NL
22.09.23	Dugopolje - Solin	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Vukovar 91 - Dugopolje	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Dugopolje - Jarun Zagreb	4:0 ✺
04.09.23	Dubrava - Dugopolje	1:3 ✺
25.08.23	Dugopolje - Croatia Zmijavci	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.23	Šibenik - Dugopolje	1:3
Croatian Prva NL
29.11.19	Dugopolje - Šibenik	0:2
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Šibenik - Dugopolje	0:0
Croatian Prva NL
27.04.19	Šibenik - Dugopolje	0:1
24.11.18	Dugopolje - Šibenik	1:0
05.05.18	Dugopolje - Šibenik	1:1
10.03.18	Dugopolje - Šibenik	2:0

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