Match Info

WWIN Liga BiH - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Pecara (Široki Brijeg)

Referee: Njegomirovic A. (Bih)


	Široki Brijeg		Velež Mostar

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.92	2.58
	2.87	3.05	2.58
	2.81	2.92	2.57	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	2.82	2.75	2.55
	2.9	2.75	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.27)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)	2.57 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Široki Brijeg
32.4%

Draw
32%

Velež Mostar
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Široki Brijeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Široki Brijeg's form might have worsened.

Velež Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Velež Mostar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Široki Brijeg than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Široki Brijeg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Velež Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	4.2%	4.2%

Široki Brijeg - Velež Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Široki Brijeg will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Velež Mostar will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Široki Brijeg: 80.7% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Široki Brijeg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Široki Brijeg (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Široki Brijeg will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Široki Brijeg (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Velež Mostar (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Josipovic R. (G) 11. Bagaric I. 20. Gagula A. 97. Klepac M. 18. Matic M. 28. Perko L. 5. Senic M. 67. Sobol H. 16. Stanic M. 95. Stanic P. 90. Tomic T. (C)	1. Karic T. (G) 6. Abdullah R. 8. Hrkac A. (C) 7. Kuzmanovic M. 47. Milak A. 22. Salcin D. 11. Saric I. 5. Serbecic B. 9. Spahic A. 23. Sturm K. 10. Vehabovic E.
Substitutes
23. Chernyak I. 10. Matic F. 26. Musa B. 77. Petrisko P. 4. Prusina B. 51. Puljic I. (G) 44. Sesar K. 7. Srdoc I. 55. Stjepanovic N. 13. Suto M. 8. Zlomislic D.	55. Bajric A. 83. Besic M. . Dazdarevic E. 21. Djuric V. 18. Duranovic S. 20. Halilovic D. 28. Mesic A. . Rebac A. 12. Ribic F. (G) . Shhade A. . Turkovic A. N.
Coaches
Milanovic D.	Rahimic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Stanic M. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Senic M. 🟨,
70', Bagaric I. ↓, Petrisko P. ↑,
74', Sobol H. ↓, Sesar K. ↑,
78', Perko L. ↓, Prusina B. ↑,
84', Matic M. 🟨,
90', Matic M. ↓, Matic F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Široki Brijeg won 1.

Široki Brijeg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Velež Mostar is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Široki Brijeg won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Široki Brijeg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Siroki Brijeg	8	2	3	3	10:11	-1	9
9	Velez Mostar	8	2	1	5	6:14	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Široki Brijeg
Bosnian Cup
11.02.26	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	2:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
06.02.26	Rudar Prijedor - Široki Brijeg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Široki Brijeg - Uskok Klis	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Široki Brijeg - Croatia Zmijavci	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Široki Brijeg - Sesvete	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLL
- Velež Mostar
Bosnian Cup
11.02.26	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	2:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
07.02.26	Velež Mostar - Borac Banja Luka	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Vukovar 91 - Velež Mostar	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Velež Mostar	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Velež Mostar - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Cup
11.02.26	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	2:1
Bosnian Premier League
25.10.25	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	1:0
10.08.25	Široki Brijeg - Velež Mostar	1:3
28.03.25	Široki Brijeg - Velež Mostar	2:5
Bosnian Cup
12.03.25	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	1:2
26.02.25	Široki Brijeg - Velež Mostar	2:0
Bosnian Premier League
23.11.24	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	3:1

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