The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Željezničar Sarajevo 39.6%
Draw 32.3%
Posušje 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
27.2%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
26.7%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Željezničar Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Željezničar Sarajevo's form might have worsened.
Posušje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Posušje's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Željezničar Sarajevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posušje than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Posušje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Željezničar Sarajevo will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Muftic V. (G) 3. Alic E. 4. Bicakcic E. 26. Galchev P. 18. Joao Erick 7. Krpic S. (C) 27. Milosevic D. 2. Odinaka E. 88. Radovac S. 16. Sabic D. 33. Seedorf C.
31. Subaric Z. (G) 6. Andacic M. 22. Begic Z. (C) 10. Cuic M. 4. Curdo B. 5. Kerkez D. 7. Krekovic L. 77. Kukavica I. 70. Majstorovic V. 90. Mulato J. 8. Sroler M.
Substitutes
1. Abdulahovic T. (G) 23. Dragovic E. 29. Huskovic M. 9. Jaganjac H. 63. Korora A. 15. Nastic B. 8. Prokop D. 99. Rakic D. 61. Rascic A. 19. Sukilovic M. 11. Vini Peixoto
20. Beslic J. 23. Busnja D. 11. Camber D. 19. Domancic M. 16. Filipovic B. 27. Hanuljak M. 30. Lasic M. 9. Petkovic V. 21. Posavec I. 1. Soldo A. (G) 32. Zivkovic A.
Coaches
Milosevic S.
Basic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Radovac S. ↓, Prokop D. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Cuic M. ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, Sabic D. ⚽,
66', Krekovic L. ↓, Domancic M. ↑,
66', Sroler M. ↓, Petkovic V. ↑,
77', Curdo B. ↓, Filipovic B. ↑,
77', Begic Z. ↓, Hanuljak M. ↑,
81', Joao Erick ↓, Vini Peixoto ↑,
84', Mulato J. ↓, Busnja D. ↑,
90', Odinaka E. ↓, Huskovic M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Željezničar won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Željezničar is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Željezničar won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Željezničar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).