The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Željezničar Sarajevo 43%
Draw 27.6%
Velež Mostar 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
28.1%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
27.2%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Željezničar Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Velež Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Velež Mostar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Željezničar Sarajevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Velež Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Željezničar Sarajevo - Velež Mostar Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Željezničar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Abdulahovic T. (G) 49. Cunha G. 7. Dabo Y. 23. Dragovic E. 5. Ibrisimovic A. 4. Karamarko M. 30. Karamarko M. 9. Korora A. 27. Milosevic D. 15. Nastic B. 6. Pejic A. (C)
95. Velic E. (G) 5. Abdallah M. 6. Abdullah R. (C) 55. Bajric A. 77. Besagic A. 23. Imamovic A. 7. Nukic A. 13. Omerovic A. 19. Rahimic M. 10. Salcin D. 80. Stojanovic N.
Substitutes
28. Freeman J. 22. Gojak A. 17. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 29. Huskovic M. 41. Jimenez A. (G) 25. Kelmendi D. 19. Kulis A. 88. Radovac S. 10. Sosic M. 20. Troupee G. 14. Vitorino A.
47. Abidovic V. 45. Djuliman K. 18. Duranovic S. 24. Dzevahiric F. 20. Halilovic D. 88. Ignatov L. 91. Matekovic C. 11. Mesic A. 38. Puce D. 1. Ribic F. (G) 92. Zulovic B.
Coaches
Muslera D.
Rahimic I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Dabo Y. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Dragovic E. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Pejic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nukic A. ↓, Abidovic V. ↑,
46', Nastic B. ↓, Sosic M. ↑,
46', Dragovic E. ↓, Freeman J. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Stojanovic N. ⚽,
63', Korora A. ↓, Huskovic M. ↑,
68', Milosevic D. ↓, Radovac S. ↑,
77', Karamarko M. ↓, Troupee G. ↑,
80', Besagic A. ↓, Matekovic C. ↑,
84', Salcin D. ↓, Halilovic D. ↑,
84', Rahimic M. ↓, Djuliman K. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Cunha G. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Željezničar won 2.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Željezničar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Željezničar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Željezničar won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Željezničar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).