Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 9Date: 24 May 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
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3 de Noviembre |
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Resistencia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.2 |
3 |
3.05 |
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2.17 |
3.1 |
3.27 |
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2.2 |
3.11 |
3.4 |
Watch |
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2.2 |
2.8 |
3.25 |
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2.13 |
3.04 |
3.3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↓ (2.66) |
3.01 ↓ (3.29) |
3.25 ↑ (2.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
3 de Noviembre 41.8% | Draw 30.3% | Resistencia 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
3 de Noviembre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 3 de Noviembre's performance.Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Resistencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for 3 de Noviembre than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 3 de Noviembre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Resistencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.3 de Noviembre - Resistencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Baez N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 🟥,
- 53', 1 - 1, Alvarez D. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).3 de Noviembre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Resistencia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Resistencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Resistencia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
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| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 26 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;