Match Info

Date: 21 August 2021, Saturday


	Aïn Mlila		Oran

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.1	9
	1.36	3.85	8
	1.36	3.9	8.2
	1.38	4.08	10.8
	1.36	4	8.5
	1.4	4.05	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (2.16)	4 ↑ (3.06)	8.73 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aïn Mlila
66.8%

Draw
22.8%

Oran
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aïn Mlila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aïn Mlila's performance.

Oran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aïn Mlila than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aïn Mlila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oran than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	2.7%	18.9%

Aïn Mlila - Oran Predictions

Users Predictions: Aïn Mlila will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Arab Club Champions Cup (Preliminary)).

Aïn M'lila is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oran is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Aïn M'lila is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aïn M'lila won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Aïn M'lila won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Aïn Mlila
Algerian Ligue 1
16.08.21	Biskra - Aïn Mlila	1:0 ✺
09.08.21	Aïn Mlila - ASO Chlef	0:0 ✺
27.07.21	Tlemcen - Aïn Mlila	2:1 ✺
23.07.21	Aïn Mlila - ES Sétif	2:1 ✺
17.07.21	Aïn Mlila - USM Alger	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWL
- MC Oran
Algerian Ligue 1
16.08.21	Bordj Bou Arréridj - Oran	0:2 ✺
09.08.21	Oran - Skikda	1:0 ✺
27.07.21	Paradou - Oran	5:4
23.07.21	Oran - Constantine	0:0 ✺
17.07.21	Biskra - Oran	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
17.03.21	Oran - Aïn Mlila	0:0
22.02.20	Oran - Aïn Mlila	3:1
11.09.19	Aïn Mlila - Oran	2:1
04.02.19	Aïn Mlila - Oran	0:0
10.09.18	Oran - Aïn Mlila	3:1

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