Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Luiz Benedito (Ouvidor)


	ABECAT Ouvidorense		Ivinhema

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.94	3.06	3.79
	2	2.99	3.96	Watch
	1.8	3	4
	1.94	3.06	3.87
	2.3	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.3)	3.04 ↑ (3)	3.74 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABECAT Ouvidorense
45.9%

Draw
29.8%

Ivinhema
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.4%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABECAT Ouvidorense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABECAT Ouvidorense's performance.

Ivinhema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ivinhema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABECAT Ouvidorense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABECAT Ouvidorense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivinhema than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ivinhema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ABECAT Ouvidorense - Ivinhema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Tuninho ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, Dionatan ⚽,

Preview

ABECAT is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ivinhema has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Ivinhema has had a series of home games.

ABECAT will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABECAT Ouvidorense
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Operário MS - ABECAT Ouvidorense	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Betim - ABECAT Ouvidorense	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Uberlândia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
08.03.26	Jataiense - ABECAT Ouvidorense	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLLW
- Ivinhema FC
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Ivinhema - Operário MS	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ivinhema - Betim	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Uberlândia - Ivinhema	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Ivinhema - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Ivinhema - Volta Redonda	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 WLWWL

ABECAT Ouvidorense - Ivinhema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide