Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	AC Carpi		Aglianese

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.9	3.37	3.45
	1.87	3.37	3.45
	1.8	3.3	3.5
	1.85	3.48	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.69)	3.36 ↓ (3.56)	3.53 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AC Carpi
48.2%

Draw
26.5%

Aglianese
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.5%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

26.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AC Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AC Carpi's form might have worsened.

Aglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AC Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aglianese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Carpi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aglianese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Carpi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.11.23	Mezzolara - AC Carpi	0:4 ✺
05.11.23	Ravenna - AC Carpi	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	AC Carpi - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Corticella - AC Carpi	3:1 ✺
22.10.23	AC Carpi - Victor San Marino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLW
- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.11.23	Aglianese - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Victor San Marino - Aglianese	2:2 ✺
01.11.23	Aglianese - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Lentigione - Aglianese	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Aglianese - Corticella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
08.02.23	AC Carpi - Aglianese	2:0
05.10.22	Aglianese - AC Carpi	1:0

AC Carpi - Aglianese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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