Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	ADO 20 Heemskerk		Hoogeveen

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.60	3.30
	1.82	3.7	3.25
	1.81	3.67	3.31
	1.86	3.93	3.33	Watch
	1.77	3.55	3.2
	1.83	3.7	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.9)	3.69 ↓ (4)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO 20 Heemskerk
48.9%

Draw
24.1%

Hoogeveen
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

22.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

22.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO 20 Heemskerk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Hoogeveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoogeveen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ADO 20 Heemskerk - Hoogeveen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 10th).

Recent results have been tough for ADO 20 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hoogeveen has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, ADO 20 has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

ADO 20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, ADO 20 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 3.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for ADO 20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.26	Purmersteijn - ADO 20 Heemskerk	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Scherpenzeel	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.09.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis	1:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
29.08.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Staphorst	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - USV Hercules	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTW
- VV Hoogeveen
Dutch KNVB Beker
22.09.26	ACV - Hoogeveen	2:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
19.09.26	Hoogeveen - Excelsior 31	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	VV DOVO - Hoogeveen	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.09.26	Hoogeveen - Zwaluwen Wierden	3:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
30.08.26	Hoogeveen - Purmersteijn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
15.02.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Hoogeveen	5:1
17.08.25	Hoogeveen - ADO 20 Heemskerk	0:2

ADO 20 Heemskerk - Hoogeveen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide