The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AF Elbasani 43.6%
Draw 31.8%
Tirana 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
26.1%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
25.9%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AF Elbasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AF Elbasani's form might have worsened.
Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AF Elbasani than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AF Elbasani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
AF Elbasani - Tirana Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. AF Elbasani will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tirana will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Totoshi K. (G) . Abas 70. Boye I. . Kasa 14. Lajthia X. 77. Lila B. 10. Loukili K. 20. Manellari I. 29. Musta E. 2. Olberkis S. 23. Ze Gomes
97. Bekaj V. (G) 10. Alvarez F. 15. Halili D. 14. Haxhiu R. 47. Kresic A. 99. Mehmeti D. 7. Myslovic P. 3. Ndong B. 8. Rafa Freitas 30. Tabekou S. 2. Vera L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Myslovic P. ⚽,
45', Kasa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Haxhiu R. ⚽,
54', Musta E. 🟨,
57', Lila B. ↓, Ibraimi D. ↑,
81', Mehmeti D. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Kasa A. ⚽,
90+1', Loukili K. ↓, Kasa K. ↑,
90+3', Haxhiu R. ↓, Vogli S. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Tabekou S. ⚽,
90+15', Bekaj V. 🟨,
90+17', Manellari I. 🟨,
90+18', Alvarez F. ↓, Marku H. ↑,
Preview
AF Elbasani is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AF Elbasani won 3.
Recent performances by AF Elbasani have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tirana is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
AF Elbasani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, AF Elbasani won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, AF Elbasani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).