The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AGF Aarhus 39.1%
Draw 26.3%
ASA Aarhus 34.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.7%
27.7%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
26.1%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AGF Aarhus's performance.
ASA Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASA Aarhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AGF Aarhus that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASA Aarhus than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASA Aarhus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AGF Aarhus - ASA Aarhus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gade M. (G) 4. Ahrenholt M. 9. Andersen S. 10. Braithwaite M. 18. Guldbjerg L. 7. Johansen C. 16. Lerche M. 8. Lundberg S. 24. Lynge S. 6. Poulsen J. 17. Rasmussen E.
1. Christiansen S. (G) 17. Eriksen I. 8. Fuglsang H. 5. Hymoller T. 7. Jensen C. 10. Larsen A. 18. Nielsen M. 21. Nielsen M. 3. Staer L. 28. Thomsen I. 19. Wutborg K.
Substitutes
11. Aarhus L. 22. Dybro M. (G) 5. Harslof C. 13. Jorgensen D. 19. Jorgensen S. 31. Klausen A. 25. Schulz C.
15. Fremo T. 4. Hauge A. 25. Jensen F. (G) 6. Jusjong S. 20. Madsen P. 23. Schroder N. 14. Sorensen L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Larsen A. ⚽, Jensen C. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Rasmussen E. ⚽, Andersen S. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Thomsen I. ⚽, Jensen C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guldbjerg L. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
54', 1 - 3, Eriksen I. ⚽, Jensen C. (A),
62', Lundberg S. ↓, Jorgensen D. ↑,
62', Braithwaite M. ↓, Aarhus L. ↑,
71', Hymoller T. ↓, Schroder N. ↑,
72', Thomsen I. ↓, Sorensen L. ↑,
72', Eriksen I. ↓, Jusjong S. ↑,
73', Andersen S. ↓, Klausen A. ↑,
77', Poulsen J. 🟨,
81', Lerche M. ↓, Harslof C. ↑,
90', Nielsen M. ↓, Fremo T. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 10th in the A - Liga Women (Relegation) and 6th in the Promotion - A - Liga Women (Championship Group: )).
Recent results have been tough for Aarhus (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by ASA have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aarhus against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
Denmark
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Gade M. (G) 
Fremo T. 
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