Match Info

DENMARK: ELITEDIVISIONEN WOMEN - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Ceres Park (Aarhus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	AGF Aarhus		Aalborg

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.72	3.84	4.01
	1.67	3.64	4.4
	1.75	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.71)	3.55 ↓ (3.77)	4.16 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
52.8%

Draw
25.5%

Aalborg
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

20.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Aalborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AGF Aarhus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AGF Aarhus - Aalborg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Burkal M. (G) 88. Bloch S. 2. Fremo T. 3. Green A. 8. Hansen S. 25. Mathiasen J. 5. McNamara M. 15. Nielsen M. 4. Ross J. 6. Sundahl S. 13. Visalli B.	1. Holm M. (G) 4. Andersen J. 5. Boyan A. 12. Dayes M. 3. Gorman C. 6. Harvey K. 7. Holst C. 22. Mortensen J. N. 14. Petersen K. 13. Posada S. 8. Roelfsema M.
Substitutes
28. Bonde C. (G) 7. Hoppe E. 19. Jorgensen S. 16. Lerche M. 27. Olesen M. 10. Rasmussen M. 17. Spanner K.	29. Christensen C. 28. Frederiksen A. S. 31. Gaur T. (G) 25. Jakobsen A. 24. Nantongo A. 2. Simonsen E. 10. Winther J.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Elitedivisionen Women (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Elitedivisionen Women (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Aalborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aarhus is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus Women
Danish A-Liga Women
30.09.23	AGF Aarhus - HB Køge	2:4 ✺
16.09.23	Thisted - AGF Aarhus	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	AGF Aarhus - Brøndby	0:2 ✺
25.08.23	Kolding - AGF Aarhus	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL
- Aalborg BK Women
Danish A-Liga Women
01.10.23	Fortuna Hjørring - Aalborg	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Aalborg - Nordsjælland	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Aalborg - Thisted	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Kolding - Aalborg	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Brøndby - Aalborg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish A-Liga Women
10.06.23	Aalborg - AGF Aarhus	2:2
06.05.23	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	3:2
07.05.22	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	2:0
26.03.22	Aalborg - AGF Aarhus	0:1
20.11.21	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	2:2
10.09.21	Aalborg - AGF Aarhus	0:1
31.10.20	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	2:0

AGF Aarhus - Aalborg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide