Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 18

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	AIK		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.85
	2.30	3.40	2.85
	2.28	3.4	2.92
	2.41	3.6	2.98
	2.38	3.52	2.87	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.33	3.44	2.86	Watch
	2.32	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.23)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	2.88 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AIK
40.4%

Draw
27%

Mjällby
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

AIK - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Mjällby will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Mjällby (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.73) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - AIK (2.37) (votes: 79%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Nordfeldt K. (C) 17. Thychosen M. 20. Hausner S. 3. Matthys H. 2. Edh E. 46. Geiger Y. 18. Ali A. 8. Hove J. 48. Kouame A. 9. Carlstrand L. 10. Assadi L.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 5. Iqbal A. 14. Granath V. 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 25. Nielsen M. 23. Samuelsen A. 18. Bergstrom J. 9. Youssef A.
Substitutes
47. Camara L. 16. Gustafsson S. 28. Jareteg L. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 44. Malki D. 7. Mujanic A. 34. Olofsson W. 49. Pukelis O. 43. Staykov N.	39. Arrhenius R. 6. Enggaard M. 1. Hansen S. (G) 26. Hoffmann I. 10. Kjaer J. 29. Lindberg O. 24. Pettersson T. 2. Svanberg L. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Riveiro J.	Brannstrom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Samuelsen A. (A),
33', Youssef A. 🟨,
34', Ali A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Kouame A. ⚽, Ali A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Samuelsen A. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
60', Lindberg O. 🟨,
70', Miettinen T. ↓, Pettersson T. ↑,
75', Assadi L. ↓, Gustafsson S. ↑,
81', Nielsen M. ↓, Hoffmann I. ↑,
82', Hausner S. ↓, Olofsson W. ↑,
89', Gustafson V. 🟨,
90+1', Youssef A. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 3.

AIK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mjällby is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

AIK will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in AIK: Ayari T. (Calf Injury) Cisse I. (Ankle Injury) Ellingsen M. (Injury) Nissen F. (Injury) Papagiannopoulos S. (Injury) Pavey C. (Groin Injury) Redkin A. (Knee Injury) Tomas D. (Inactive) Wilson O. S. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Mjällby: Dalsgaard V. (Injury) Isaksson M. (Inactive) Stavitski T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AIK won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

AIK: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	AIK	22	9	6	7	31:34	-3	33
12	Mjallby	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22

Last Results with these Odds

AIK - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.35%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.09.26	AIK - Västerås SK	1:4 ✺
07.09.26	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	AIK - Hammarby	3:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.26	Piteå - AIK	0:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.08.26	Djurgården - AIK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 LTWWW
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.09.26	Häcken - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:4 ✺
03.09.26	Mjällby - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Djurgården - Mjällby	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Mjällby	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
11.07.26	Mjällby - AIK	1:2
20.07.25	Mjällby - AIK	2:0
11.05.25	AIK - Mjällby	2:1
11.08.24	AIK - Mjällby	1:0
13.04.24	Mjällby - AIK	1:1
Svenska Cupen
09.03.24	Mjällby - AIK	1:3
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.10.23	AIK - Mjällby	1:0

Upcoming Matches