Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Senegal	LSFP TV


	AJEL de Rufisque		Dakar SC

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.3	3.8
	2.43	2.26	4.31	Watch
	2.4	2.45	3.3
	2.32	2.35	4.08
	2.45	2.08	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)	2.29 ↓ (2.77)	4 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AJEL de Rufisque
37.7%

Draw
39.6%

Dakar SC
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

33.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

32.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AJEL de Rufisque's form might have worsened.

Dakar SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AJEL de Rufisque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dakar SC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).

AJEL is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dakar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dakar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

AJEL will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AJEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, AJEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
14.12.25	Ouakam - AJEL de Rufisque	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - HLM	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Camberene - AJEL de Rufisque	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Casa Sport	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Pikine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTTW
- Dakar SC
Senegal Ligue 1
13.12.25	Dakar SC - Génération Foot	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ouakam - Dakar SC	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Dakar SC - Linguère	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	HLM - Dakar SC	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Dakar SC - Gorée	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
14.06.25	Dakar SC - AJEL de Rufisque	3:0
18.01.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC	2:1

AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide