Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 17

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	AP Gdańsk		Pogoń Tczew

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.3
	1.88	4.11	2.95
	1.92	4.12	3.03	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.1
	1.94	3.69	3.38
	1.43	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.39)	3.87 ↓ (4.25)	3.59 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AP Gdańsk
50.7%

Draw
23.7%

Pogoń Tczew
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

21.1%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AP Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AP Gdańsk's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Tczew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Tczew's recent form is better than expected.

AP Gdańsk - Pogoń Tczew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gdańsk won 3.

Gdańsk has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gdańsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gdańsk is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gdańsk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 2.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gdańsk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gdansk W	7	4	1	2	11:9	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AP Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraliga Women
29.03.26	AP Gdańsk - UKS SMS Łódź	0:6 ✺
25.03.26	Pogoń Szczecin - AP Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Śląsk Wrocław - AP Gdańsk	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	AP Gdańsk - Górnik Łęczna	1:4 ✺
Polish Cup Women
10.03.26	AP Gdańsk - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pogoń Tczew
Polish Ekstraliga Women
29.03.26	Pogoń Tczew - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	UKS SMS Łódź - Pogoń Tczew	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Pogoń Tczew - Lech UAM Poznań	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Pogoń Tczew - AZS UJ Kraków	0:5 ✺
19.11.25	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Tczew	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
19.09.25	Pogoń Tczew - AP Gdańsk	0:3
15.03.25	AP Gdańsk - Pogoń Tczew	1:1
31.08.24	Pogoń Tczew - AP Gdańsk	2:1
23.03.24	AP Gdańsk - Pogoń Tczew	4:1
09.09.23	Pogoń Tczew - AP Gdańsk	0:3
28.05.23	Pogoń Tczew - AP Gdańsk	0:2
26.04.23	AP Gdańsk - Pogoń Tczew	3:1

AP Gdańsk - Pogoń Tczew: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide