Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 7

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Lambert Park (Sydney)


	APIA Leichhardt Tigers		Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4.5	5.25
	1.4	4.55	5.5	Watch
	1.42	5.96	6.6
	1.43	5.52	5.27
	1.4	4.75	5.5
	1.35	5.25	5.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	5.09 ↑ (4.35)	5.67 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
65.5%

Draw
18.2%

Sutherland Sharks
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

19.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APIA Leichhardt won 5.

APIA Leichhardt is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sutherland Sharks has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sutherland Sharks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sutherland Sharks has had a series of home games.

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that APIA Leichhardt will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, APIA Leichhardt won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 52:20. (average 2.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, APIA Leichhardt won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:7. (average 3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
14.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Wollongong Wolves	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Manly United - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - North West Sydney Spirit	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWTW
- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
14.03.26	Sutherland Sharks - University of New South Wales	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Sutherland Sharks - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Blacktown City - Sutherland Sharks	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Sutherland Sharks - St George Saints	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sutherland Sharks - Sydney United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
17.08.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	5:0
03.05.25	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2
07.07.24	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	3:2
30.03.24	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:7
24.06.23	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	1:0
11.03.23	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1
13.07.22	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:1

APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide