Match Info

3rd Division - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	ASA Aarhus		Holstebro

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.40	2.15
	2.75	3.65	2.10
	2.77	3.75	2.16
	2.78	3.73	2.18	Watch
	2.70	3.70	2.13
	2.81	3.75	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	2.16 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASA Aarhus
33%

Draw
24.9%

Holstebro
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.6%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASA Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Holstebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASA Aarhus than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstebro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ASA Aarhus - Holstebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

ASA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holstebro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Holstebro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	ASA Aarhus	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
7	Holstebro	10	4	1	5	16:22	-6	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASA Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
22.08.26	BK Frem - ASA Aarhus	3:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
19.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Randers FC	0:4 ✺
Danish 3 Division
15.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Vanløse	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Ishøj IF - ASA Aarhus	0:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Viby - ASA Aarhus	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWWW
- Holstebro BK
Danish 3 Division
22.08.26	Holstebro - Helsingør	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ringsted - Holstebro	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Holstebro - Holbæk	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Holstebro - Aalborg BK	1:3 ✺
Danish 3 Division
01.08.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holstebro	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTLW

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