Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	ASM Oran		Arbaâ

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.27	7.3
	1.55	3.89	5.23	Watch
	1.45	3.82	7.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	3.99 ↑ (3.89)	6.55 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASM Oran
62.5%

Draw
23.3%

Arbaâ
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.6%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASM Oran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Arbaâ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASM Oran than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbaâ than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ASM Oran - Arbaâ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASM Oran won 2.

ASM Oran is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Arbaâ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, ASM Oran is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ASM Oran won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, ASM Oran won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASM Oran
Algerian Ligue 2
17.10.25	Hussein Dey - ASM Oran	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	ASM Oran - Koléa	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Bechar Djedid - ASM Oran	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	ASM Oran - El Biar	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Témouchent - ASM Oran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWWTW
- Arbaâ
Algerian Ligue 2
17.10.25	Arbaâ - Tixeraine	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	JSM Tiaret - Arbaâ	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Tlemcen - Arbaâ	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Arbaâ - Hussein Dey	Hussein Dey awarded ✺
13.09.25	Koléa - Arbaâ	Kolea awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLL??

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
26.12.24	Arbaâ - ASM Oran	1:0
16.02.24	Arbaâ - ASM Oran	1:1
30.09.23	ASM Oran - Arbaâ	4:0
Algerian Ligue 1
27.02.16	Arbaâ - ASM Oran	2:1
28.09.15	ASM Oran - Arbaâ	2:0
18.04.15	ASM Oran - Arbaâ	3:2
08.11.14	Arbaâ - ASM Oran	1:0

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