Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD - ROUND 15

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	ATSV Erlangen		Donaustauf

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.77	3.78	4.02
	1.8	3.9	3.1
	1.71	3.88	3.86
	1.75	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.15)	3.81 ↑ (3.64)	3.7 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ATSV Erlangen
51.7%

Draw
23.8%

Donaustauf
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ATSV Erlangen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ATSV Erlangen's performance.

Donaustauf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Donaustauf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ATSV Erlangen than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ATSV Erlangen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donaustauf than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Donaustauf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Donaustauf could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

ATSV Erlangen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ATSV Erlangen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams ATSV Erlangen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ATSV Erlangen
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
29.09.23	Neudrossenfeld - ATSV Erlangen	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	ATSV Erlangen - Neumarkt	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	ATSV Erlangen - Bayern Hof	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Würzburger FV - ATSV Erlangen	1:1 ✺
08.09.23	ATSV Erlangen - Abtswind	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWTT
- SV Donaustauf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
30.09.23	Neumarkt - Donaustauf	4:0 ✺
23.09.23	Donaustauf - Abtswind	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Coburg - Donaustauf	1:4 ✺
05.09.23	Bayern Hof - Donaustauf	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Donaustauf - Fortuna Regensburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
29.04.23	Donaustauf - ATSV Erlangen	3:1
23.09.22	ATSV Erlangen - Donaustauf	5:3

ATSV Erlangen - Donaustauf: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide