Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	ATSV Erlangen		Fortuna Regensburg

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.55	3.05
	2.04	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 (2.04)	3.55 (3.55)	3.05 (3.05)

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Current Win Probability

ATSV Erlangen
44.6%

Draw
25.6%

Fortuna Regensburg
29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for ATSV Erlangen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Fortuna Regensburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATSV Erlangen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Markert L. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Altenstrasser L. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Ziegler F. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 3)
54', 1 - 3, Ziegler F. ⚽,
58', 1 - 4, Altenstrasser L. ⚽,
63', 2 - 4, Floros V. ⚽,
72', Floros V. 🟥,
85', 3 - 4, Krause L. ⚽,
88', 4 - 4, Gundling M. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 5, Allgaier R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).

ATSV Erlangen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fortuna Regensburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fortuna Regensburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

ATSV Erlangen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ATSV Erlangen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, ATSV Erlangen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ATSV Erlangen
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
25.04.25	Ingolstadt II - ATSV Erlangen	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Weiden - ATSV Erlangen	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	ATSV Erlangen - Abtswind	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Cham - ATSV Erlangen	1:0 ✺
21.03.25	ATSV Erlangen - Bayern Hof	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL
- Fortuna Regensburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
19.04.25	Würzburger FV - Fortuna Regensburg	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Fortuna Regensburg - Kornburg	3:1 ✺
21.03.25	DJK Ammerthal - Fortuna Regensburg	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Fortuna Regensburg - Eintracht Münchberg	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Eltersdorf - Fortuna Regensburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
05.10.24	Fortuna Regensburg - ATSV Erlangen	5:0
18.11.23	Fortuna Regensburg - ATSV Erlangen	4:2
22.08.23	ATSV Erlangen - Fortuna Regensburg	3:1

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