Match Info

BFL - Round 14

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium (Gopalganj)


	Abahani Limited		Fortis

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.15	3.65
	1.87	3.44	3.82	Watch
	1.91	3	3.7
	1.85	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.07)	3.21 ↑ (3.14)	3.78 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abahani Limited
47.9%

Draw
28.2%

Fortis
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abahani Limited has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Fortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abahani Limited than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortis than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Abahani Limited - Fortis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Marma M. (G) 3. Islam K. 2. Murad H. 5. Hossain S. 24. Bablu A. (C) 4. Khan Y. 23. Islam M. 13. Singh P. 8. Shah Quazem Kirmine S. 6. Ogbugh E. 10. Diabate S.	1. Perera S. (G) 14. Mithu Chowdhury M. (C) 2. Sajib A. 28. Hossain R. 4. Jallow E. 44. Tamang A. 6. Mona M. 13. Fahad A. 54. Tshering D. 16. Ali M. 19. Okafor O.
Substitutes
18. Ahmed S. 11. Al-Amin 26. Asadul Molla M. 27. Das T. 28. Hossain I. 44. Hossain S. 21. Hossain Sayem S. 22. Hossen S. (G) 19. Ibrahim M. 12. Islam E. 16. Molla A. 1. Pritom M. (G)	30. Atick M. (G) 20. Bepari S. 26. Fakir M. 9. Hossain S. 27. Kumar J. 8. Mamun M. 31. Mia M. (G) 12. Mia N. 17. Nova M. 25. Rabbani M. (G) 5. Rahman M. 11. Rony M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Perera S. (Own goal),
17', Sajib A. 🟨,
29', Singh P. 🟨,
33', Fahad A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Islam M. ↓, Al-Amin ↑,
65', Sajib A. ↓, Mia N. ↑,
65', Fahad A. ↓, Nova M. ↑,
71', Hossain R. 🟨,
75', Ali M. ↓, Rony M. ↑,
76', Rony M. 🟨,
83', Murad H. ↓, Hossain S. ↑,
85', Tshering D. ↓, Bepari S. ↑,
89', Marma M. 🟨,
90+6', Shah Quazem Kirmine S. ↓, Islam E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abahani Limited won 1.

Abahani Limited is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fortis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Abahani Limited could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Abahani Limited won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Abahani Limited won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Fortis	2	1	1	0	9:3	6	4
3	Abahani Limited	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abahani Limited
Bangladesh BFL
17.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Abahani Limited	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Abahani Limited - Mohammedan	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Brothers Union - Abahani Limited	1:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
10.03.26	Rahmatganj - Abahani Limited	1:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
06.03.26	Abahani Limited - Rahmatganj	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWTW
- Fortis FC
Bangladesh BFL
17.04.26	Fortis - Arambagh Krira Sangha	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Fortis	0:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Fortis	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
14.03.26	Fortis - Bashundhara Kings	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Mohammedan - Fortis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
06.12.25	Fortis - Abahani Limited	0:0
17.05.25	Abahani Limited - Fortis	1:2
03.01.25	Fortis - Abahani Limited	0:0
Bangladesh Federation Cup
30.04.24	Fortis - Abahani Limited	1:3
Bangladesh BFL
05.04.24	Abahani Limited - Fortis	1:1
30.12.23	Fortis - Abahani Limited	1:0
07.04.23	Fortis - Abahani Limited	0:2

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