Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Abha		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.15
	2.65	3.60	2.35
	2.8	3.5	2.22
	2.85	3.77	2.34
	2.79	3.75	2.28	Watch
	2.7	3.65	2.25
	2.82	3.62	2.29
	2.85	3.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.28)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	2.27 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Abha
33.6%

Draw
25.5%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abha's form might have worsened.

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ettifaq Dammam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ettifaq Dammam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Abha - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ettifaq (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 39. Al-Zaid M. 3. Gaari J. 37. Hindi A. 80. Al Johani S. 11. Gory A. 10. Fekir N. 19. Al Fahad A. (C) 7. Al Ghamdi F. 20. Al Qahtani K. 44. Batshuayi M.	92. Ba Al Jawsh T. (G) 61. Al Otaibi R. 4. Hendry J. 70. Khateeb A. A. (C) 13. Al Alaeli M. 42. Kante A. 11. Duda O. 17. Larsson J. 10. Medran A. 43. Celina B. 9. Dembele M.
Substitutes
66. Al Gulaymish N. 28. Al Mutairi B. 4. Al Sayyali B. 12. Al Shamrani K. 6. Al Subiani F. 24. Al Zahrani H. 9. Boumedmed K. 29. Dawran M. M. Y. 26. Malayekah M. (G)	6. Al Ghamdi F. 29. Al Ghamdi Z. 7. Al Ghannam K. 33. Al Olayan M. 23. Al Rehaili A. (G) 58. Al Shammari Y. 87. Al Sibyani M. 3. Madu A. 80. Messi R.
Coaches
Buric D.	Papas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
30', Duda O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Al-Zaid M. 🟨,
65', Fekir N. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
65', Al Alaeli M. ↓, Al Olayan M. ↑,
65', Duda O. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
74', Larsson J. ↓, Al Ghannam K. ↑,
75', Al-Zaid M. ↓, Al Gulaymish N. ↑,
79', Hindi A. 🟨,
80', 0 - 1, Leon D. (Own goal),
90', Al Fahad A. ↓, Al Subiani F. ↑,
90', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
90', Al Qahtani K. ↓, Boumedmed K. ↑,
90+3', Celina B. ↓, Al Shammari Y. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abha won 2.

Abha is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Ettifaq has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Abha won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Abha: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Al Ettifaq	7	3	2	2	11:11	0	11
18	Abha	7	0	2	5	5:13	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ettifaq Dammam - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi Professional League
28.08.26	Al-Feiha - Abha	3:2 ✺
25.08.26	Abha - Al-Khaleej	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	4:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
16.08.26	Al-Orobah - Abha	1:0 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.08.26	Abha - Al Hazem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
29.08.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Diriyah	0:3 ✺
25.08.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
18.08.26	Al-Jabalain - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
14.08.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
09.03.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Abha	3:0
16.09.23	Abha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3
18.05.23	Abha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:1
07.01.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Abha	2:1
20.01.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Abha	1:2
26.08.21	Abha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1
11.02.21	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Abha	4:1

Upcoming Matches