Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Umuahia Township Stadium (Umuahia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Abia Warriors		Heartland

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.8	7.6
	1.38	3.83	7.37
	1.37	3.95	8.55
	1.42	3.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	3.85 ↑ (3.62)	7.78 ↑ (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abia Warriors
64.8%

Draw
23.6%

Heartland
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

25.1%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

23.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abia Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Heartland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abia Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Abia Warriors - Heartland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ali I. (G) 20. Ekpo D. 17. Ewuga P. 19. Godwin I. 12. Megwo S. 2. Njoku A. (C) 26. Nwoburuoke C. 30. Ogwuche P. 8. Ojonugwa A. 10. Samson P. 15. Wilson E.	23. Nwokocha E. (G) 3. Abalaogu A. 18. Anyanwu P. 15. Ikwu E. 20. Mgbemene I. 26. Molokwu C. 14. Nnaemeka C. 25. Peters A. 16. Samuel W. 9. Suraju L. 32. Victor B.
Substitutes
33. Afolabi I. 9. Antoine I. 31. Atavti S. 18. Ayodele E. 13. Hammed Y. 25. Jonathan N. 35. Nmecha J. (G) 5. Ogbuagu E. 16. Olewunne I. C.	17. Adoh F. 27. Agor C. 34. Charles E. 22. Chiaha C. (G) 33. Ige T. 29. Itebu D. J. 13. Odo J. 28. Olanrewaju M. 21. Orji E.
Coaches
Amapakabo I.	Amuneke E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ogu M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Abia Warriors won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Abia Warriors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Abia Warriors is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Abia Warriors won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Abia Warriors won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abia Warriors
Nigerian Premier League
26.10.24	Bendel Insurance - Abia Warriors	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Abia Warriors - Plateau United	3:1 ✺
16.10.24	Nasarawa United - Abia Warriors	3:0 ✺
13.10.24	Abia Warriors - Kwara United	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Enugu Rangers - Abia Warriors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWL
- Heartland
Nigerian Premier League
27.10.24	Heartland - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Bayelsa United - Heartland	1:0 ✺
17.10.24	Heartland - Ikorodu City	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Heartland - Niger Tornadoes	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Shooting Stars - Heartland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
13.03.24	Heartland - Abia Warriors	2:0
29.10.23	Abia Warriors - Heartland	1:0
01.05.22	Heartland - Abia Warriors	2:1
16.01.22	Abia Warriors - Heartland	1:0
21.07.21	Abia Warriors - Heartland	2:1
07.03.21	Heartland - Abia Warriors	2:2
12.01.20	Heartland - Abia Warriors	1:0

Abia Warriors - Heartland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide