Match Info

EGYPT: DIVISION 2 A - ROUND 16

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday


	Abu Qir Fertilizers		Dekrnes

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.41	3.26	2.69
	2.34	3.26	2.69
	2.5	2.9	2.62
	2.41	3.13	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.07)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	2.67 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abu Qir Fertilizers
37.4%

Draw
28.8%

Dekrnes
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

30%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abu Qir Fertilizers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abu Qir Fertilizers's form might have worsened.

Dekrnes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dekrnes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abu Qir Fertilizers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abu Qir Fertilizers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dekrnes than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dekrnes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Abu Qir Fertilizers - Dekrnes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dekrnes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 in the zone Division 2 A (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Division 2 A (Relegation Group: )).

Abu Qir Fertilizers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dekrnes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Abu Qir Fertilizers won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Abu Qir Fertilizers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abu Qir Fertilizers SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
03.01.24	La Viena - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:0 ✺
28.12.23	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Nogoom El Mostakbal	0:2 ✺
18.12.23	Asyut Petroleum - Abu Qir Fertilizers	2:1 ✺
14.12.23	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Petrojet	1:3 ✺
05.12.23	Olympic El Qanah - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLLT
- Dekrnes SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
02.01.24	Dekrnes - Nogoom El Mostakbal	3:2 ✺
27.12.23	Petrojet - Dekrnes	3:0 ✺
19.12.23	Dekrnes - Proxy	0:0 ✺
14.12.23	Al Nasr Lel Taaden - Dekrnes	0:1 ✺
05.12.23	Dekrnes - El Sekka El Hadid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
24.05.23	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Dekrnes	3:2
03.02.22	Dekrnes - Abu Qir Fertilizers	2:2
07.10.21	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Dekrnes	0:0

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