Match Info

EGYPT: DIVISION 2 - GROUP C - ROUND 11

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Abu Qir Fertilizers		Shabab El Dabaa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.75
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.59	3.39	6.24
	1.52	3.3	6.5
	1.5	3.64	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.93)	3.45 ↑ (3.2)	5.97 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abu Qir Fertilizers
58.5%

Draw
26.3%

Shabab El Dabaa
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abu Qir Fertilizers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Abu Qir Fertilizers's performance.

Shabab El Dabaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shabab El Dabaa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abu Qir Fertilizers than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Abu Qir Fertilizers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab El Dabaa than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabab El Dabaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Abu Qir Fertilizers - Shabab El Dabaa Predictions

Users Predictions: Abu Qir Fertilizers will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Abu Qir Fertilizers is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Shabab El Dabaa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Abu Qir Fertilizers will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abu Qir Fertilizers SC
Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
14.12.22	Al Magd - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:4 ✺
07.12.22	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Ittihad Nabarouh	1:0 ✺
30.11.22	Gomhoriat Shebin - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:0 ✺
23.11.22	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Salloum	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Abu Qir Fertilizers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWL
- Shabab El Dabaa
Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
15.12.22	Shabab El Dabaa - Pioneers	0:0 ✺
07.12.22	El-Olympi - Shabab El Dabaa	0:0 ✺
29.11.22	Shabab El Dabaa - Sporting Alexandria	1:0 ✺
18.11.22	Shabab El Dabaa - Tanta	1:2 ✺
02.11.22	Proxy - Shabab El Dabaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWLL

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