Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 7

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Adamstown Oval (Newcastle)


	Adamstown Rosebud		Maitland

	1	X	2
	3	4	1.9	Watch
	3.1	3.93	1.94
	50.00	15.55	1.00	Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.14	3.78	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.47 ↑ (2.91)	6.15 ↑ (3.86)	1.74 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adamstown Rosebud
9.8%

Draw
19.9%

Maitland
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

23.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

23.1%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adamstown Rosebud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adamstown Rosebud's form might have worsened.

Maitland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maitland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adamstown Rosebud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maitland than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maitland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 0 - 4, ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, ⚽,
81', 2 - 4, ⚽,
82', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adamstown Rosebud won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Maitland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adamstown Rosebud won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 25:75. (average 1.3:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Adamstown Rosebud won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 1.5:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
01.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2 ✺
27.03.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Edgeworth Eagles	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Broadmeadow Magic - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Kahibah	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Adamstown Rosebud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TTTLL
- Maitland FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
28.03.26	Maitland - Kahibah	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Newcastle Olympic - Maitland	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Valentine Phoenix - Maitland	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Maitland	3:4 ✺
28.02.26	Maitland - Weston Bears	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
31.05.25	Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1
28.02.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	3:4
22.06.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	2:7
23.03.24	Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud	1:1
13.08.23	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	1:0
13.05.23	Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud	5:0
13.07.22	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	3:5

Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide