Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 9

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Adamstown Rosebud		Weston Workers Bears

	1	X	2
	4.75	5	1.42	Watch
	5.75	5.25	1.39
	5.2	5	1.4	Watch
	5.27	5.66	1.42
	2.86	4.13	2.02	Watch
	5.61	5.25	1.37	Watch
	5.2	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↓ (6.36)	5.04 ↓ (5.68)	1.49 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adamstown Rosebud
18.8%

Draw
18.5%

Weston Workers Bears
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

16%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

15.3%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adamstown Rosebud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Weston Workers Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Weston Workers Bears might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adamstown Rosebud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston Workers Bears than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weston Workers Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Weston Workers (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Weston Workers (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
22', 0 - 1, Archbold B. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Hatfield C. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Buswell C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 4, Hatfield C. (Pen),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adamstown Rosebud won 0.

Recent matches Adamstown Rosebud is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weston Workers is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Weston Workers is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Adamstown Rosebud won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:34 (average 1.1:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Adamstown Rosebud won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.04.25	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	4:0 ✺
04.04.25	Broadmeadow Magic - Adamstown Rosebud	3:2 ✺
28.03.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Cooks Hill United	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Edgeworth Eagles	0:4 ✺
08.03.25	Lambton Jaffas - Adamstown Rosebud	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWLW
- Weston Workers Bears
Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.04.25	Broadmeadow Magic - Weston Workers Bears	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Belmont Swansea United - Weston Workers Bears	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	New Lambton - Weston Workers Bears	1:5 ✺
15.03.25	Weston Workers Bears - Maitland	5:1 ✺
01.03.25	Weston Workers Bears - Cooks Hill United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
28.07.24	Weston Workers Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	6:0
25.04.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears	0:2
15.07.23	Weston Workers Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2
25.04.23	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears	2:2
26.06.22	Weston Workers Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1
04.05.22	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears	0:1
26.06.21	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears	1:1

Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide