The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adana Demirspor 22.7%
Draw 24.8%
Samsunspor 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
26%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
25%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adana Demirspor's form might have worsened.
Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adana Demirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
7.7%
84.6%
Adana Demirspor - Samsunspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 59% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Karakus V. (G) 99. Kurtulan A. 4. Guler S. (C) 5. Gravillon A. 23. Burak A. 58. Maestro 16. Celik I. 28. Kavrazli S. 8. Aydogan T. 80. Kol A. 11. Barasi Y.
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 16. Bola M. 21. Holse C. 6. Ait Bennasser Y. 10. Ntcham O. 7. Muja A. 9. Marius 11. Kilinc E.
Substitutes
22. Aktas A. 17. Aymbetov A. 60. Demirbag O. 24. Ersoy B. 25. Eser M. (G) 93. Fougeu B. 55. Kalender T. 91. Karayigit K. 15. Manev J. 29. Shehu F.
8. Aydogdu S. 55. Cift Y. E. 14. Dimata L. 28. Gonul S. 29. Kara E. 27. Laura G. 17. Schindler K. 13. Tait F. 45. Yeral H. (G) 5. Yuksel C.
Coaches
Damla S.
Reis T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Barasi Y. (Pen),
14', Kavrazli S. 🟨,
25', Satka L. 🟨,
37', Yavru Z. 🟨,
39', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', 1 - 1, Muja A. ⚽, Marius (A),
64', Kilinc E. ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
64', Yavru Z. ↓, Schindler K. ↑,
65', Celik I. ↓, Aymbetov A. ↑,
65', Kavrazli S. ↓, Fougeu B. ↑,
71', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
76', Kol A. ↓, Manev J. ↑,
78', Aymbetov A. 🟨,
86', Holse C. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
87', Muja A. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
87', Barasi Y. ↓, Shehu F. ↑,
90', Burak A. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Dimata L. ⚽, Aydogdu S. (A),
90+11', 1 - 3, Aydogdu S. ⚽, Dimata L. (A),
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 1.
Adana Demirspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Samsunspor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Adana Demirspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Samsunspor is a favorite.
There are questionable in Samsunspor: Kilinc E.
(Jaw injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 4 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Adana Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).
Asia
Turkey
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Karakus V. (G) 
Kurtulan A. 
Guler S. (C) 
Gravillon A. 
Maestro 
Satka L. 
Van Drongelen R. 
Bola M. 
Holse C. 
Ait Bennasser Y. 
Ntcham O. 
Marius 
Aymbetov A. 
Fougeu B. 
Manev J. 
Shehu F. 
Dimata L. 
Kara E. 
Laura G. 
Schindler K. 
