Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL South Australian - Round 6

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Adelaide Olympic		Adelaide United Youth

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.8	2.3
	2.65	3.75	2.2	Watch
	2.71	4.04	2.29
	2.72	4.04	2.23
	2.45	3.9	2.25
	2.64	3.84	2.21	Watch
	2.6	3.75	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.25)	3.87 ↑ (3.5)	2.24 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Olympic
35.3%

Draw
23.7%

Adelaide United Youth
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Adelaide United Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United Youth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Olympic than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Olympic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United Youth than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United Youth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide United Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
66', 0 - 2, ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Erba F. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Katopodis M. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adelaide Olympic won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Adelaide Olympic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Adelaide Olympic won 3 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Adelaide Olympic won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Olympic FC
Australian NPL South Australian
30.03.24	Modbury Jets - Adelaide Olympic	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Adelaide Olympic - Campbelltown City	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Adelaide Olympic	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Adelaide Olympic - FK Beograd	1:5 ✺
24.02.24	Adelaide Comets - Adelaide Olympic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLL
- Adelaide United Youth
Australian NPL South Australian
28.03.24	Adelaide United Youth - North Eastern MetroStars	0:4 ✺
23.03.24	Croydon - Adelaide United Youth	2:4 ✺
09.03.24	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide United Youth	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Adelaide United Youth - Modbury Jets	1:5 ✺
24.02.24	Adelaide United Youth - Campbelltown City	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
03.06.23	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide United Youth	2:2
12.03.23	Adelaide United Youth - Adelaide Olympic	3:0
29.06.22	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide United Youth	3:1
05.03.22	Adelaide United Youth - Adelaide Olympic	3:1
28.08.21	Adelaide United Youth - Adelaide Olympic	1:1
12.06.21	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide United Youth	1:1
31.10.20	Adelaide United Youth - Adelaide Olympic	0:0

Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide United Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide