Match Info

SA State League - Round 10

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Adelaide Olympic		Cumberland United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.22	3.7	2.52
	2.26	3.83	2.49
	2.28	4.03	2.51	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.6
	2.25	3.74	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.8)	3.72 ↓ (4)	2.52 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Olympic
40.1%

Draw
24.2%

Cumberland United
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

23%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

22.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Olympic's form might have worsened.

Cumberland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cumberland United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Olympic than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Olympic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumberland United than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cumberland United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adelaide Olympic - Cumberland United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide Olympic won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Adelaide Olympic won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide Olympic won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Olympic FC
Australian SA State League
08.05.26	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide Cobras	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide Olympic	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide Blue Eagles	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide Atletico	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Salisbury United - Adelaide Olympic	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW
- Cumberland United
Australian SA State League
08.05.26	Cumberland United - Cove	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Cumberland United	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cumberland United - Fulham United	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Cumberland United	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Cumberland United - Eastern United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
02.08.25	Cumberland United - Adelaide Olympic	2:1
10.05.25	Adelaide Olympic - Cumberland United	2:1
Australian NPL South Australian
06.08.22	Adelaide Olympic - Cumberland United	2:3
14.05.22	Cumberland United - Adelaide Olympic	3:2
10.07.21	Adelaide Olympic - Cumberland United	1:1
10.04.21	Cumberland United - Adelaide Olympic	3:0
26.09.20	Cumberland United - Adelaide Olympic	2:1

Adelaide Olympic - Cumberland United