Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL South Australia - Round 20

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday


	Adelaide Olympic		Para Hills Knights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.75
	2.15	3.75	2.7	Watch
	2.19	4	2.86
	2.2	3.89	2.83	Watch
	2.1	3.9	2.62
	2.12	3.82	2.75	Watch
	2.14	3.7	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.93)	3.83 ↑ (3.71)	2.75 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Olympic
42.8%

Draw
23.9%

Para Hills Knights
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

24.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

22.2%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Olympic's performance.

Para Hills Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Para Hills Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Olympic than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Olympic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Para Hills Knights than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Para Hills Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Adelaide Olympic - Para Hills Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Adelaide Olympic will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Para Hills Knights will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Polli J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Felix K. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Polli J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Olympic FC
Australian NPL South Australian
20.07.24	North Eastern MetroStars - Adelaide Olympic	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Adelaide Olympic - Croydon	4:1 ✺
29.06.24	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Olympic	2:2 ✺
22.06.24	Adelaide Olympic - Modbury Jets	1:4 ✺
15.06.24	Campbelltown City - Adelaide Olympic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTLL
- Para Hills Knights
Australian NPL South Australian
20.07.24	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	North Eastern MetroStars - Para Hills Knights	0:0 ✺
28.06.24	Para Hills Knights - FK Beograd	1:3 ✺
22.06.24	Croydon - Para Hills Knights	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide Comets	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
04.05.24	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide Olympic	0:0
Club Friendly
12.03.21	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide Olympic	0:5
Australian NPL South Australian
23.10.20	Adelaide Olympic - Para Hills Knights	4:0
06.03.20	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide Olympic	0:1
17.08.19	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide Olympic	3:3
11.05.19	Adelaide Olympic - Para Hills Knights	2:2
26.05.18	Adelaide Olympic - Para Hills Knights	1:0

Adelaide Olympic - Para Hills Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide