Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 15

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: ServiceFM Stadium (Adelaide) 🌤️ ...


	Adelaide United U23		Adelaide Comets

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.80	3.50
	1.88	3.65	3.25
	1.92	3.97	3.30
	1.89	4.1	3.37	Watch
	1.85	3.50	3.30
	1.93	3.85	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.45)	3.81 ↓ (4.45)	3.36 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United U23
48.7%

Draw
24%

Adelaide Comets
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.6%

20.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

20.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United U23's form might have worsened.

Adelaide Comets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Comets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Comets than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide Comets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Comets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Adelaide United U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Adelaide United U23 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United U23 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United U23
Australian NPL South Australian
13.06.26	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide City	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	West Adelaide - Adelaide United U23	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Adelaide United U23 - Playford City Patriots	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Adelaide United U23 - West Torrens Birkalla	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide United U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTWW
- Adelaide Comets
Australian NPL South Australian
12.06.26	Adelaide Comets - West Adelaide	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Playford City Patriots - Adelaide Comets	2:2 ✺
29.05.26	West Torrens Birkalla - Adelaide Comets	4:1 ✺
23.05.26	Adelaide Comets - Para Hills Knights	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	North Eastern MetroStars - Adelaide Comets	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
20.03.26	Adelaide Comets - Adelaide United U23	0:1
07.06.25	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Comets	3:0
28.02.25	Adelaide Comets - Adelaide United U23	1:0
27.07.24	Adelaide Comets - Adelaide United U23	4:2
04.05.24	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Comets	1:1

Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Comets