Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Afragolese		Barletta

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.51	2.13	Watch
	3.04	3.36	2.12
	3.01	3.32	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.04)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
30.4%

Draw
26.8%

Barletta
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

26.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

25.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Barletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Afragolese - Barletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Panariello R. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Fantacci T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

Recent performances by Afragolese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barletta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barletta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Barletta has had a series of home games.

Barletta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.10.25	Nardo - Afragolese	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Afragolese - Manfredonia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Afragolese - Pompei	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Afragolese - Sarnese	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Città di Fasano - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.10.25	Barletta - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Barletta - Pompei	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Manfredonia - Barletta	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Barletta - Francavilla	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Barletta - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
12.03.23	Afragolese - Barletta	0:0
06.11.22	Barletta - Afragolese	2:0

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