Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Afragolese		Matera

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.72	3.5	4
	1.91	3.35	3.45
	1.73	3.5	4.33
	1.92	3.52	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	3.78 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
49.8%

Draw
26.2%

Matera
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Matera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afragolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matera than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Afragolese - Matera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Afragolese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Matera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Afragolese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
20.11.22	Puteolana - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Afragolese - Altamura	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Barletta - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Città di Brindisi - Afragolese	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Afragolese - Lavello	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT
- FC Matera
Italian Serie D - Group H
20.11.22	Matera - Altamura	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Matera - Città di Brindisi	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Martina Calcio - Matera	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Francavilla - Matera	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Matera - Bitonto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWTLL

Afragolese - Matera

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Afragolese - Matera Predictions

Preview

Form

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