Match Info

ICELAND: Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Varmárvöllur (Mosfellsbaer)


	Afturelding		Fjölnir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	4.2	3.9
	1.59	4.2	4.05	Watch
	1.62	4.71	4.15
	1.59	4.66	4.07	Watch
	1.57	4.4	4
	1.59	4.35	4.19	Watch
	1.59	4.2	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.01)	4.39 ↑ (3.55)	4.06 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
57%

Draw
20.7%

Fjölnir
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

25%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Afturelding's performance.

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fjölnir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Afturelding that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fjölnir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Afturelding - Fjölnir Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Afturelding will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Fjölnir will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Andresson J. (G) 16. Barkarson B. B. 25. Bjarnason G. 10. Cogic E. 22. Jensen O. 7. Johannsson A. 77. Magnusson H. 23. Palsson S. 11. Ragnarsson A. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Sigmarsson G.	26. Georgsson H. (G) 11. Arnarsson J. 7. Axelsson D. 22. Berndsen B. 29. Gudmundsson G. (C) 3. Haraldsson R. 5. Hilmarsson D. 9. Hilmarsson M. 14. Ingvarsson D. 4. Juliusson J. 6. Reynisson S.
Substitutes
17. Asgeirsson A. 34. Gudjonsson P. 19. Hugason S. 1. Johannesson A. (G) 9. Jonasson A. 8. Jonsson A. 4. Runolfsson B.	20. Hafstein B. T. 10. Hardarson A. 25. Hardarson S. (G) 17. Hjalmarsson V. 27. Sigmarsson S. 8. Thorlacius O. 21. Thrastarson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Johannsson A. ⚽, Magnusson H. (A),
33', Cogic E. 🟨,
45', Ragnarsson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Ingvarsson D. ⚽,
66', Ingvarsson D. ↓, Hardarson A. ↑,
66', Axelsson D. ↓, Hafstein B. T. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Cogic E. ⚽,
72', Reynisson S. 🟨,
75', Hilmarsson D. ↓, Hjalmarsson V. ↑,
77', Barkarson B. B. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
77', Ragnarsson A. ↓, Gudjonsson P. ↑,
81', Hugason S. 🟨,
85', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
90', 3 - 1, Palsson S. ⚽,
90+2', Arnarsson J. ↓, Thrastarson R. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Division 1
14.09.24	Afturelding - IR Reykjavik	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Fjölnir - Afturelding	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Afturelding - Njarðvík	4:1 ✺
24.08.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Afturelding	2:3 ✺
19.08.24	Afturelding - Throttur Reykjavik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW
- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Division 1
14.09.24	Keflavík - Fjölnir	4:0 ✺
08.09.24	Fjölnir - Afturelding	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Grótta - Fjölnir	2:1 ✺
22.08.24	Fjölnir - IR Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Thor Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
08.09.24	Fjölnir - Afturelding	2:0
26.06.24	Afturelding - Fjölnir	0:1
31.08.23	Fjölnir - Afturelding	4:2
29.06.23	Afturelding - Fjölnir	4:3
17.09.22	Afturelding - Fjölnir	1:5
09.07.22	Fjölnir - Afturelding	2:1
14.08.21	Fjölnir - Afturelding	3:0

Afturelding - Fjölnir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide