Match Info

Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadionul Comunal Afumati (Afumati)


	Afumaţi		CSM Satu Mare

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.35	3.5
	1.86	3.96	3.2
	1.9	3.48	3.65	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.1
	1.84	3.44	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.68)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	3.44 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afumaţi
48.3%

Draw
25.3%

CSM Satu Mare
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afumaţi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afumaţi's form might have worsened.

CSM Satu Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afumaţi than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afumaţi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSM Satu Mare than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSM Satu Mare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Afumaţi - CSM Satu Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	22. Railean D. (G)
	18. Carpa G.
	8. Copaci P.
	23. Donca M.
	2. Ghazoini E.
	17. Hosu M.
	67. Marin M.
	26. Oanea C. (C)
	20. Panos M.
	27. Vida K.
	7. Zamfir C.
Substitutes
	98. Gergely A.
	76. Hofman A.
	1. Karacsony M. (G)
	25. Mbala K.
	21. Raji A.
	70. Staiculescu D.
	5. Todoran D.
	6. Vasalie A.
	11. Zsiga E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Fatai K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, Mbala K. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Panos M. ⚽,
62', 🟨,
63', 1 - 3, Copaci P. ⚽,
66', 🟨,

Preview

Afumaţi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSM Satu Mare is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Afumaţi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Afumaţi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Afumati	8	4	2	2	12:12	0	14
20	CSM Satu Mare	8	0	4	4	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Afumaţi
Romanian Division 2
18.04.26	FC Bacău - Afumaţi	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Afumaţi - Reșița	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Tunari - Afumaţi	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	Afumaţi - Viitorul Șelimbăr	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - Afumaţi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLW
- CSM Satu Mare
Romanian Division 2
18.04.26	CSM Satu Mare - Viitorul Șelimbăr	4:0 ✺
10.04.26	FC Bacău - CSM Satu Mare	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	CSM Satu Mare - Dumbrăviţa	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Reșița - CSM Satu Mare	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	CSM Satu Mare - CS Dinamo București	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Division 2
13.12.25	CSM Satu Mare - Afumaţi	2:1

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