The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Afumaţi 37.3%
Draw 24.9%
Steaua București 37.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.1%
26.3%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
25.5%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afumaţi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afumaţi's form might have worsened.
Steaua București has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Steaua București's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afumaţi than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afumaţi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steaua București than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Steaua București, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Afumaţi - Steaua București Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dumitrescu D. (G) 4. Diomande M. 7. Enache A. 3. Lazar A. 15. Lis L. 26. McCarthy C. 11. Mihoreanu G. 2. Paun A. 25. Raicu A. 6. Sersescu C. 10. Zaina I. (C)
33. Simon M. (G) 32. Abou A. 26. Adascalitei M. 34. Albu C. A. 19. Carvalho B. 5. Dorado Perez C. D. 90. Garcia D. 23. Gonzalez C. 13. Ilie A. (C) 20. Rasdan F. 76. Rotaru S.
Substitutes
12. Cimpoesu A. (G) 21. Gallo V. 20. Ghinet V. 16. Kaplan O. 14. Marica V. 8. Sacara M. 9. Sanogo M. 24. Stancu D. 30. Strizu P. (G)
17. Bobaru M. 11. Caldieraro P. 8. Coada I. 6. Dinu I. 80. Gonzalez Mora J. 21. Nofitovici A. 1. Pletea I. (G) 30. Tolea I. 77. Vlasceanu L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Dorado Perez C. D. ⚽,
17', Adascalitei M. 🟨,
21', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Diomande M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, Garcia D. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, Sanogo M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th in the Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 17th in the Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Steaua could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Afumaţi has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:9 (averaging 0.3:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Afumaţi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 1:7 goals (averaging 0.3:2.3 per game).