Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 13

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Agareb		Sfax Railways

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.68	2.52
	2.87	2.67	2.52
	2.93	2.73	2.59	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.6
	2.83	2.73	2.54
	3	2.66	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.4)	2.68 ↓ (3.05)	2.55 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agareb
31.2%

Draw
33.5%

Sfax Railways
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

29.9%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

29.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agareb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sfax Railways has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sfax Railways might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agareb than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfax Railways than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sfax Railways could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Agareb - Sfax Railways Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
70', 1 - 0, Lachheb C. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Lazzez H. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Ezzine A. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Agareb has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sfax Railways is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Agareb may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Agareb has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Agareb won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Agareb won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Agareb
Tunisian Ligue 2
06.12.25	Msaken - Agareb	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bouhajla - Agareb	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Agareb - Sporting Ben Arous	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	El Makarem de Mahdia - Agareb	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Océano Club de Kerkennah - Agareb	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLL
- Sfax Railways Sports
Tunisian Ligue 2
06.12.25	Sfax Railways - Hammam-Sousse	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sfax Railways - Msaken	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bousalem - Sfax Railways	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sfax Railways - Bouhajla	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Sporting Ben Arous - Sfax Railways	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
27.04.25	Sfax Railways - Agareb	1:0
15.12.24	Agareb - Sfax Railways	1:1

Agareb - Sfax Railways: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide