Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - Final

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca) 🌤️ ...


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Uberlândia

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.80	3.90
	1.98	2.72	4
	2.1	2.55	4.5
	2.11	2.71	4.09	Watch
	2.04	2.55	4.4
	2.16	3.15	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)	2.75 ↓ (3.1)	4.06 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
44.3%

Draw
33.2%

Uberlândia
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Uberlândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Uberlândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 1, Danilo Mendes (Own goal),
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

ASA is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Uberlândia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Uberlândia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
30.08.26	Gama - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Gama	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Goiatuba	2:1 penalties ✺
26.07.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Cianorte	5:1 ✺
18.07.26	Cianorte - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWWW
- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Serie D
30.08.26	ABC - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Uberlândia - ABC	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	CS Alagoano - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Portuguesa - Uberlândia	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Uberlândia - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWLW

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Uberlândia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Uberlândia Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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