Match Info

Date: 2 June 2020, Tuesday


	Ahal		Köpetdag Aşgabat

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.45	4.5	4.75
	1.5	4.25	5
	1.41	4.2	5.6
	1.4	4.49	5.27
	1.44	4.2	5.25
	2.4	4.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (3.13)	4.33 ↓ (4.58)	4.94 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahal
59.5%

Draw
21.6%

Köpetdag Aşgabat
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

20.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

14.5%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ahal's performance.

Köpetdag Aşgabat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Köpetdag Aşgabat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahal than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ahal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köpetdag Aşgabat than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köpetdag Aşgabat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	3.7%	3.2%

Ahal - Köpetdag Aşgabat Predictions

Users Predictions: 189 users predict this event. Ahal will win (votes: 176 - 93.1%). Köpetdag will win (votes: 6 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ahal: 89.5% – 96.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ahal
Turkmenistan Yokary Liga
28.05.20	Şagadam - Ahal	1:2 ✺
23.05.20	Merw - Ahal	3:0 ✺
19.05.20	Ahal - Altyn Asyr	1:2 ✺
13.05.20	Nebitçi - Ahal	1:2 ✺
05.05.20	Ahal - Energetik Mary	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- Köpetdag Aşgabat
Turkmenistan Yokary Liga
28.05.20	Köpetdag Aşgabat - Altyn Asyr	1:2 ✺
23.05.20	Nebitçi - Köpetdag Aşgabat	2:1 ✺
18.05.20	Köpetdag Aşgabat - Aşgabat	1:1 ✺
14.05.20	Energetik Mary - Köpetdag Aşgabat	2:4 ✺
08.05.20	Köpetdag Aşgabat - Merw	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkmenistan Yokary Liga
25.04.20	Köpetdag Aşgabat - Ahal	0:1

Ahal - Köpetdag Aşgabat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide