Match Info

Date: 9 October 2021, Saturday


	Ahlafors		Karlstad II

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.33
	1.45	4	4.6
	1.42	4.5	4.9
	1.5	4.58	5.19
	1.49	4.7	4.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)	4.42 ↑ (4)	4.78 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahlafors
60.8%

Draw
20.3%

Karlstad II
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

14.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ahlafors's performance.

Karlstad II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ahlafors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad II than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlstad II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ahlafors - Karlstad II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 and 12).

Ahlafors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Karlstad II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ahlafors is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ahlafors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
02.10.21	Lidkoping - Ahlafors	1:3 ✺
25.09.21	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs FK	4:3 ✺
18.09.21	Angered - Ahlafors	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Ahlafors - Gauthiod	0:0 ✺
08.09.21	Ahlafors - Grebbestad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTW
- IF Karlstad II
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
04.10.21	Karlstad II - Forward	2:3 ✺
25.09.21	Tidaholm - Karlstad II	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Karlstad II - Oddevold	0:1 ✺
15.09.21	Karlstad II - Yxhults	2:0 ✺
08.09.21	IFK Skövde - Karlstad II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
05.06.21	Karlstad II - Ahlafors	1:3

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