Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ahrweiler		Gonsenheim

	1	X	2
	3.75	4	1.66
	3.6	3.85	1.65
	3.7	4.1	1.63
	3.99	4.58	1.7
	4.2	4.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (4.9)	4.15 ↓ (4.74)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahrweiler
23.5%

Draw
21.8%

Gonsenheim
54.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

19.1%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

18.7%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahrweiler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gonsenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonsenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahrweiler than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ahrweiler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonsenheim than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonsenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ahrweiler - Gonsenheim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Oberliga Rheinland~Pfalz/Saar (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Oberliga Rheinland~Pfalz/Saar (Championship Group)).

Ahrweiler is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gonsenheim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gonsenheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gonsenheim is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ahrweiler BC
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
30.09.22	Engers - Ahrweiler	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Ahrweiler - Pfeddersheim	1:3 ✺
18.09.22	Kirchberg - Ahrweiler	3:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ahrweiler - Karbach	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Eisbachtal - Ahrweiler	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLTW
- SV Gonsenheim
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
01.10.22	Gonsenheim - Alemannia Waldalgesheim	4:2 ✺
25.09.22	Mülheim-Kärlich - Gonsenheim	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	TuS Koblenz - Gonsenheim	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Engers - Gonsenheim	1:1 ✺
26.08.22	Gonsenheim - Pfeddersheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTTW

Ahrweiler - Gonsenheim

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ahrweiler - Gonsenheim Predictions

Preview

Form

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