Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Ain Ouessara		ASM Oran

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.85	4.1
	1.87	2.8	4.2
	1.98	3.03	4.38
	1.95	2.78	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.82)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	4.32 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ain Ouessara
47.3%

Draw
31.7%

ASM Oran
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

34.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

35.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ain Ouessara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ain Ouessara's performance.

ASM Oran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASM Oran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ain Ouessara than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ain Ouessara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASM Oran than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASM Oran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ain Ouessara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Ain Ouessara
Algerian Ligue 2
16.04.22	El Harrach - Ain Ouessara	3:0 ✺
09.04.22	Ain Ouessara - Widad Adabi de Boufarik	1:0 ✺
31.03.22	Bel-Abbès - Ain Ouessara	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Ain Ouessara - GC Mascara	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Hadjout - Ain Ouessara	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLWW
- ASM Oran
Algerian Ligue 2
16.04.22	ASM Oran - JSM Tiaret	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Saïda - ASM Oran	0:1 ✺
31.03.22	ASM Oran - Kouba	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	SC Aïn Defla - ASM Oran	1:3 ✺
19.03.22	ASM Oran - El Bayadh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
04.01.22	ASM Oran - Ain Ouessara	1:1
16.03.21	ASM Oran - Ain Ouessara	2:1

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